Learning Outcomes
Upon successful completion of the course, students will:
- be able to recognize the qualitative characteristics of time series, e.g. trend, periodicity, etc.
- have a comprehensive theoretical background on the basic methods of time series analysis
- have knowledge and critical understanding of the key properties of AR, MA, ARMA and ARIMA models
- can fit time series data to linear stochastic models using R programming language
- have a comprehensive theoretical background on the basic methods of time series prediction
Course Content (Syllabus)
Time series characteristics, stationarity, autocorrelation function, linear stationary stochastic models: AR (p), MA (q), ARMA (p, q), non-stationary ARIMA models (p, d, q), methodology of Box & Jenkins, prediction methods for time series.
Course Bibliography (Eudoxus)
- Σύγχρονες Μέθοδοι Ανάλυσης Χρονολογικών Σειρών, Σ. Δημέλη, Εκδόσεις ΟΠΑ, 2013
- Σημειώσεις "Ανάλυση Χρονοσειρών", Δ. Κουγιουμτζής, 2012 (http://users.auth.gr/dkugiu/Teach/TimeSeries/index.html)
Additional bibliography for study
"Introduction to time series and forecasting", Brockwell, P. J., Davis, R. A., Springer New York, 2002
"The Analysis of Time Series, An Introduction", Chatfield C., Sixth edition, Chapman & Hall, 2004